TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc63e…9064

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.53
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$449.04
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.75
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$102.11
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.94
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.45
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$82.09
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+307.5%+$68.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$358
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.27
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.76
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Nao Hibinobacked Nao Hibino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.47
Estoril Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+217.2%+$49.58
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$63.9
Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Mayar Sherifbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.1
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$70.29
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+905%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+905%+$90.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.