Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 8: Sandoval vs. Lee (Welterweight, Main)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff3d04f0ea8a1eb533d1b4425b30ae8f42bf172b2b24a4306ad3229459ca294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sandovalof Sandoval, Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Sandoval | 58c | 1,907$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lee | 58c | 1,177$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Sandoval | 45c | 625$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sandoval | 47c | 430.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Sandoval | 40c | 400$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Lee | 40c | 262.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Lee | 59c | 256.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Lee | 73c | 111.37$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…1bafbacked Lee | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…9019backed Sandoval | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lee | 56c | 76.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…56f6backed Lee | 58c | 62.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…e9f3backed Sandoval | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…5072backed Sandoval | 38c | 35.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…acebbacked Lee | 78c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…167cbacked Lee | 68c | 24.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…896cbacked Lee | 63c | 17.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.