TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe23…5072

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7574.7%56 W · 19 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$27.58
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.67
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: England (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$18.98
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Libertybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 8: Sandoval vs. Lee (Welterweight, Main)backed Sandoval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$22.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguetbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.