Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x914ec153edf7b85484b7af8a5cbf5cdc6dcf680e3a0a7230fc4b1bf84d33a1d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 39c | 3,910$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.57 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,888$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.43 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 56c | 2,554$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.48 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,832$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.68 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 5c | 1,521$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2d…d3f6backed Yes | 6c | 973.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 5c | 931.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…7600backed Yes | 5c | 912.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 4c | 888.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 79c | 827.57$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 787.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 24c | 740.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…b70cbacked Yes | 5c | 654.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 4c | 489.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 4c | 484.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 4c | 477.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 11c | 384.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 13c | 304.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 291.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 254.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Yes | 7c | 244.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…eb8bbacked Yes | 6c | 239.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 6c | 180.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 18c | 139.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 9c | 137.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 9c | 121.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…8492backed Yes | 21c | 95.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 31c | 64.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…524abacked No | 64c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 39.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 72c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked No | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.