MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31565b4da781c0be1dbddd7f28540396a1212aa823570749e8e80652637d8e2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed KT Wiz | 38c | 1,017$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.7 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked LG Twins | 62c | 841.34$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…7ba3backed LG Twins | 8c | 759.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked LG Twins | 40c | 734.64$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.37 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 61c | 691.22$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed KT Wiz | 39c | 399.94$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.96 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed KT Wiz | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked KT Wiz | 38c | 252.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.79 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed KT Wiz | 39c | 241.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed LG Twins | 62c | 210.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…080ebacked KT Wiz | 40c | 197.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 61c | 180.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked KT Wiz | 39c | 162.21$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KT Wiz | 39c | 122.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed KT Wiz | 40c | 108.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KT Wiz | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked KT Wiz | 45c | 94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed LG Twins | 62c | 92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LG Twins | 33c | 91.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked KT Wiz | 39c | 90.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…7886backed LG Twins | 62c | 80.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…5cc1backed LG Twins | 62c | 65.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed KT Wiz | 38c | 63.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed KT Wiz | 38c | 62.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed LG Twins | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d7…e1f8backed LG Twins | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed KT Wiz | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KT Wiz | 72c | 49.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked KT Wiz | 40c | 49.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 39c | 47.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked LG Twins | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LG Twins | 61c | 31.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed LG Twins | 62c | 30.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked KT Wiz | 39c | 28.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked LG Twins | 63c | 27.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KT Wiz | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 76c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed LG Twins | 61c | 17.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked LG Twins | 61c | 16.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083d…10a1backed LG Twins | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.