MLB · resolved market
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3d4f3d36f4b493733275d906dfdaec3d05e680a9af033fe31483dda643d0c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Hanwha Eagles, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…b836backed Hanwha Eagles | 43c | 3,451$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 38c | 2,192$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 2,155$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.84 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 1,988$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.34 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 841.89$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.43 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…8666backed Hanwha Eagles | 44c | 417$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 332.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 274.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 58c | 206.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 165$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 162.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 10c | 152.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 142.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 129.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 120.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 97.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kia Tigers | 78c | 88.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Hanwha Eagles | 43c | 84.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed Hanwha Eagles | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 77.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 72.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Kia Tigers | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 58.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9f…b19dbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 57.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 36.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 34.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 34.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Hanwha Eagles | 40c | 31.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Hanwha Eagles | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…8d5dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…e701backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1995backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 25.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…677bbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…a6a9backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.