MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb52fdc2b104cf4b802e28abb37fcd68320b73315ec837fc7854c8a0b15287afd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 913.48$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 575.85$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 565.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 452.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 450.21$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 446.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 294.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 265.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 13c | 249.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 239$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 187.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 184$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 183.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 75c | 177.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 175.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 160.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…c001backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 145.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 135.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 115.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 98.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 98.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 13c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 80.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 70.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 63.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Doosan Bears | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 59.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 56.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 51.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Doosan Bears | 71c | 51.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 47.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 37.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 36.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 32.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…2d6cbacked Doosan Bears | 66c | 32.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked Doosan Bears | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 20.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…4943backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.