Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Sweden vs Malta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9a9a11bb00ecbf1cb9e1c9b2266d856cc5f7ea2021bd0c349ebec02a113518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maltaof Sweden, Malta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Malta | 27c | 2,575$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.89 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Sweden | 77c | 1,671$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Sweden | 2c | 1,057$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sweden | 76c | 778.64$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.21 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Malta | 24c | 760$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Malta | 39c | 615.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.42 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Sweden | 61c | 399.54$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.72 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Malta | 77c | 386.06$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sweden | 31c | 350.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Malta | 46c | 345.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sweden | 63c | 323.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Sweden | 73c | 292.01$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sweden | 78c | 289$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.13 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sweden | 10c | 228.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Malta | 17c | 154.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec87…47cebacked Malta | 36c | 111.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Malta | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sweden | 63c | 87.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…d345backed Sweden | 70c | 85.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Sweden | 45c | 83.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sweden | 61c | 82.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sweden | 23c | 79.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Malta | 39c | 74.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sweden | 61c | 74.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Malta | 14c | 73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Malta | 43c | 54.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Malta | 37c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Sweden | 69c | 53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb686…cb21backed Sweden | 79c | 50.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…517ebacked Sweden | 80c | 50.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Sweden | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Sweden | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…9f78backed Sweden | 71c | 42.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sweden | 59c | 31.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…20cebacked Sweden | 52c | 26.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Sweden | 70c | 25.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.