Tennis · resolved market
ITF Blois: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Margaux Rouvroy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa8644d12ed3382f87a26fdef4676af9a3c48bd115ae5c4ecaf9278cf2a21b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alevtina Ibragimovaof Alevtina Ibragimova, Margaux Rouvroy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Margaux Rouvroy | 40c | 528.09$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 28c | 447.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Margaux Rouvroy | 42c | 237.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Margaux Rouvroy | 65c | 225.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Margaux Rouvroy | 45c | 203.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 59c | 190$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Margaux Rouvroy | 45c | 168.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Margaux Rouvroy | 8c | 143.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Margaux Rouvroy | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Margaux Rouvroy | 19c | 79.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…ffe6backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 58c | 62.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Margaux Rouvroy | 45c | 41.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 46c | 37.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Margaux Rouvroy | 38c | 36.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Margaux Rouvroy | 62c | 35.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 62c | 34.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Margaux Rouvroy | 39c | 32.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 59c | 30.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Margaux Rouvroy | 51c | 26.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Margaux Rouvroy | 49c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 55c | 24.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Margaux Rouvroy | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Margaux Rouvroy | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.