Tennis · resolved market
ITF Blois: Yaroslava Bartashevich vs Sofya Lansere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c6f05ea12a49f267f05f2cf306623ec3dab32a02c0a729ed9152fe32e8981e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofya Lansereof Yaroslava Bartashevich, Sofya Lansere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yaroslava Bartashevich | 41c | 2,011$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sofya Lansere | 59c | 1,865$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yaroslava Bartashevich | 40c | 1,711$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.25 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sofya Lansere | 54c | 1,668$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.79 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sofya Lansere | 63c | 508.89$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Sofya Lansere | 69c | 410$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yaroslava Bartashevich | 31c | 350$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Sofya Lansere | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yaroslava Bartashevich | 52c | 230$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofya Lansere | 51c | 215.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sofya Lansere | 64c | 176.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yaroslava Bartashevich | 43c | 148.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yaroslava Bartashevich | 40c | 142.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yaroslava Bartashevich | 58c | 139.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Yaroslava Bartashevich | 63c | 138$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yaroslava Bartashevich | 38c | 127.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Sofya Lansere | 63c | 89.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yaroslava Bartashevich | 58c | 85.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yaroslava Bartashevich | 42c | 81.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Sofya Lansere | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Sofya Lansere | 64c | 74.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yaroslava Bartashevich | 34c | 57.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Yaroslava Bartashevich | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Yaroslava Bartashevich | 52c | 33.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sofya Lansere | 56c | 32.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Sofya Lansere | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Sofya Lansere | 64c | 27.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Sofya Lansere | 44c | 25.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Yaroslava Bartashevich | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Sofya Lansere | 54c | 18.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.