CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x733fd9279710d4518706542e6f0ba9796218a812cd1bae6de05e4dd6f49c0c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 1,020$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.23 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Over | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 53c | 484.66$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 326.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Over | 28c | 317.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 32c | 299.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 67c | 266.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under | 69c | 241$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Under | 65c | 231.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…6052backed Under | 69c | 210.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 140.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 52c | 114.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 52c | 109.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…9afebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…780bbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 32c | 93.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 31c | 75.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 65.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…6b49backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…2f1cbacked Under | 67c | 55.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 54c | 25.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…793dbacked Under | 65c | 25.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…98f9backed Under | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.