TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of G2, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7645…3117backed Legacy64c6,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,839.9771645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G237c3,339$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.1283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked G236c3,141$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.0521251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Legacy62c3,078$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.021,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Legacy64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.9937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5752,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked G268c2,445$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.296266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked G236c2,361$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.1119546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Legacy40c2,170$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.335054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed G235c2,127$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.8896545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Legacy34c1,986$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.4610452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Legacy61c1,704$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.341,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed G236c1,506$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.118254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x525f…6401backed G236c1,348$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.683850%19 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed G237c993.92$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.9218748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed G252c895.05$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.5419238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Legacy43c832.43$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9125634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9943…67b7backed G236c822.83$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.613735.1%13 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Legacy32c750$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.520248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed G236c749.99$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.4955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed G267c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2736450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed G246c599.38$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5831345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Legacy65c587.68$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.9978963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Legacy63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Legacy63c440.95$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.031,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked G269c436.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.496854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed G236c407.31$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6822740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed G236c352.39$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5341938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Legacy53c349.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.52,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed G246c284.74$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7432561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Legacy62c274.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3450947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Legacy37c273.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Legacy65c271.95$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4389248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked G263c267.88$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1248845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Legacy63c260$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.818846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed3…01e3backed G236c259.23$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1667936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked G261c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.565650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked G270c235.71$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7144675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Legacy64c220$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.810053%53 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Legacy63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12615648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G234c192.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.315,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd72…481dbacked G249c184.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.15373.6%39 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed G235c166.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1875450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed G236c160.05$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4310339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Legacy65c154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.127744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Legacy65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked G234c146.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0129046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Legacy54c146.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.282,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked Legacy35c142.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.046232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed G236c118.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7714145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed G236c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1114653.4%78 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed G256c101.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7914851.4%76 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked G259c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6945162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed G236c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6418148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…9d90backed G235c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked G235c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed G238c99.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5922643.8%99 W · 127 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed G235c81.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3936846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Legacy65c78.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.036136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed Legacy65c75.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.969748.5%47 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e46…8c1cbacked Legacy66c73.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3123654.7%129 W · 107 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885a…e1e3backed G267c72.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.057250%36 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6b…a307backed G236c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4412046.7%56 W · 64 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66a…ca12backed G259c67.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.973650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…5d93backed G236c67.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Legacy40c61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.211,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6a…a9f8backed G235c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.144348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Legacy55c53.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4268659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8234…bfd0backed G236c53.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.339654.2%52 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Legacy65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010154.5%55 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Legacy66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016965.1%110 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Legacy66c42.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3112160.3%73 W · 48 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Legacy33c40.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Legacy62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.88648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked G238c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.846042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked G236c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.630639.5%121 W · 185 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceea…ec81backed Legacy66c37.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ce…a1ccbacked G236c37.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Legacy68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed G247c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked G247c31.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.676450%32 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed G251c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4149947.5%237 W · 262 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…b01fbacked Legacy64c29.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.666050%30 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Legacy67c28.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Legacy65c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2549149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed Legacy66c24.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620659.2%122 W · 84 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Legacy63c23.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6413351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab3e…8869backed G254c21.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1015259.9%91 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Legacy48c20.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Legacy58c18.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118562.4%53 W · 32 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked G262c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8448052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…570bbacked G267c16.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4215557.4%89 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed G265c16.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6433156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab2e…09b2backed Legacy64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.