Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe642895bd514f5a274d247f7d8190199c77aeb09aff18d2d3cf5a037157a6a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.97 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 46c | 10,321$4,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.71 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 47c | 6,069$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.54 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…ca0dbacked Under | 46c | 5,201$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 4,698$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.02 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 50c | 1,640$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.53 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Under | 46c | 1,427$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.2 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 46c | 1,422$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 46c | 1,106$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.75 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 923.67$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…de5cbacked Under | 46c | 850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 762.65$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 611.25$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.29 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed Over | 51c | 590.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.15 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 34c | 538.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 48c | 515.32$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.97 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 471$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 42c | 400$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 397.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 53c | 324.53$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…e2dcbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Over | 70c | 287.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 45c | 255.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 52c | 251.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.56 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 240.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…19ffbacked Over | 53c | 209.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Over | 57c | 209.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…4f85backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…e5f2backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…74c0backed Over | 52c | 193.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 52c | 184.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 33c | 162.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Under | 49c | 153.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 134.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 66c | 117.13$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…133ebacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 86.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e7…3925backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 64.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 32c | 63.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 48c | 59.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f9…8450backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Over | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…e9ecbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 76c | 41.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 41.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…2ba2backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 36.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…9e40backed Over | 68c | 34.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 62c | 32.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…bb1fbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 55c | 24.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Under | 50c | 24.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a6…3895backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…dc26backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…f274backed Under | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…d005backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Team to Take First CornerTürkiye won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.