Fifa International · resolved market
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x852848f4b96149363e32b055f80101ccbd0e5b97d06d558aa96df21b585f87df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 47c | 1,451$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.94 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 53c | 1,418$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.11 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 45c | 1,301$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.64 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 704.12$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 50c | 701.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.78 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…703fbacked Over | 55c | 449.82$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 56c | 449.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Over | 50c | 391.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.79 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Over | 62c | 345.44$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 333.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 50c | 313.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 276.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 264.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 54c | 184.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 43c | 149.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196f…b9aabacked Over | 55c | 119.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 38c | 88.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…0409backed Over | 58c | 85.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 61c | 81.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 60.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 51.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 33.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 58c | 31.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 45c | 30.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Team to Take First CornerTürkiye won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.