TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Kiwoom DRX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kiwoom DRX43c19,143$8,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,231.3255955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed T157c6,566$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.237958.2%46 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Kiwoom DRX43c6,205$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.3348440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed T158c5,654$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.611,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Kiwoom DRX42c5,584$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.2796048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed T157c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked T157c3,900$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,67770456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked T157c2,123$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.0921844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed T157c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked T156c1,947$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.5214060%84 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Kiwoom DRX43c1,745$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.4351044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Kiwoom DRX44c1,098$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.291854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f3…110abacked T157c1,062$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.611275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kiwoom DRX42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Kiwoom DRX42c887.99$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.961,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…bf47backed T157c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.468551.8%44 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa4…865cbacked T158c840.34$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9418062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T157c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30121154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Kiwoom DRX44c676.48$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6528852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Kiwoom DRX44c658.91$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9226155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed T157c616.82$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2337641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed T157c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2581,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Kiwoom DRX42c589.7$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5796250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0a…fe3abacked T157c502.48$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.079738.1%37 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked T157c496.26$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.393542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed T157c475.17$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3213852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Kiwoom DRX44c440.38$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2726448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T157c427.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7343640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed T157c427.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.737558.7%44 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed T156c406.67$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.61,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed T157c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1726651.5%34 W · 32 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+57.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Kiwoom DRX25c394.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.987027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked T161c338.09$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.552,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Kiwoom DRX43c299.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12815255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed T163c272.06$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.664266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Kiwoom DRX43c254.39$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3922142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed T158c248.74$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.476852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Kiwoom DRX45c216.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.681,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kiwoom DRX43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked T180c192.14$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4361256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked T156c185.81$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7682044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…804ebacked Kiwoom DRX43c179.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2613849.3%68 W · 70 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed T167c174.9$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2417163.7%109 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked T157c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.499750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked T157c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.494949%24 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed T157c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4911753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed T158c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5953753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked T157c160.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1244743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed T157c158.95$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3512341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kiwoom DRX36c156.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.251,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Kiwoom DRX38c149.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.951,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed T158c146.22$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4167763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Kiwoom DRX41c141.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8817745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked T157c136.73$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7930255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked T169c133.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4614338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked T158c132.77$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7712047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fe…ad2dbacked Kiwoom DRX42c131.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed T157c126.65$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4650547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T158c123.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8767552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked T157c118.42$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9216647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2387…2a96backed Kiwoom DRX44c109.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3211631%36 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed T157c102.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.119055.3%105 W · 85 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed T157c102.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.132142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4679…cd40backed T157c102.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked T157c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4342751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb72…6c45backed T157c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed T157c99.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8339056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed T158c99.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6561150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed T157c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8917561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5d…3e6fbacked Kiwoom DRX44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.522548%12 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed T157c94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4216346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…f851backed Kiwoom DRX44c87.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.666434.4%22 W · 42 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed T157c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…b266backed T157c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.753050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Kiwoom DRX36c78.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.131,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked T164c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5212462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9f…0f61backed T157c70.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751625%4 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-60.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed T166c68.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.569354.8%51 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed T158c67.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2431352.4%164 W · 149 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked T173c67.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9264556.6%365 W · 280 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0093…be88backed Kiwoom DRX44c65.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9917454.6%95 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa5…a15abacked Kiwoom DRX45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.015949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kiwoom DRX36c63.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.881,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed T162c63.01$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9434050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Kiwoom DRX33c61.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5141651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed T155c60.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.211244.6%50 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Kiwoom DRX20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216143.5%70 W · 91 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed T158c58.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7132952.9%174 W · 155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed T157c58.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2636047.5%171 W · 189 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d3…51b0backed T158c57.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x069b…e8afbacked Kiwoom DRX42c57.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.786048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Kiwoom DRX44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.161850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed T157c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0568253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked T157c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0539048.2%188 W · 202 L+26.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed T157c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0557655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed T167c49.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3822758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed T169c49.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2179864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Kiwoom DRX36c47.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8549514.3%71 W · 424 L-70.5wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-50.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed T165c45.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8161849.8%308 W · 310 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Kiwoom DRX43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3253955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.