Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x781620b591886144bfcf696832530b111696f3e027611e7b35aa8eecc04d9d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 37c | 1,970$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.89 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 63c | 1,302$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.68 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 36c | 1,044$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 15c | 985.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 668.54$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.01 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 65c | 603.43$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…af16backed Over | 35c | 562.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 36c | 504.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.73 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 63c | 338.35$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 14c | 285.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 62c | 198.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Under | 66c | 195.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Over | 29c | 162.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Under | 63c | 142.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under | 63c | 124.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 63c | 98.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 63c | 59.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 63c | 59.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 74c | 53.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 289 | 59.9%173 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 21c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Over | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 69c | 42.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 41.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 77c | 39.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed Over | 36c | 39.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under | 75c | 32.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 655 | 56.2%368 W · 287 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 63c | 32.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 38c | 30.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…b5b1backed Over | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 195 | 61.5%120 W · 75 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.