Mls · resolved market
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cee37477699d54d70c467ed6726070ab5ccdc6e27146a52dcb2133673ce9988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 56c | 1,964$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,155$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.93 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 560.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 44c | 385.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 356$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 309.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Over | 56c | 178.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 56c | 177.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8cabacked Over | 59c | 170.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 123.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 56c | 118.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Over | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Under | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…a73fbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 53c | 29.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.