Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aac64ba44764209ba99bb92d8320c5ff7c00eece37d5ca445baf01c1e280f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,705 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 43c | 2,333$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.19 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 1,989$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.05 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 40c | 1,606$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 1,585$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 1,110$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.03 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 36c | 832.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.19 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 701.93$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 587.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 26c | 458.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…d8cabacked Yes | 41c | 385.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 244.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 236.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 44c | 206.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 143.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 43c | 83.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 22c | 75.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 25c | 68.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 65.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 72c | 60.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 37c | 54.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 49.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 37.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Yes | 43c | 24.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.