Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4466e5aea1c635c64a50bf33fff8d885a5e0a1c5d02633adb55b8c77e2474f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,395 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 67c | 1,704$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.49 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 1,489$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.82 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,488$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.05 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 1,192$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.16 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 29c | 957.23$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.36 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 60c | 785.61$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.51 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 719.77$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.65 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 467.2$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 301.47$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 28c | 208.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 200.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Yes | 29c | 171.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 165.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 156$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 28c | 149.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 62c | 147.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 143.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 137.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 50c | 131.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 77c | 130.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 28c | 128.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 30c | 82.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Yes | 76c | 72.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 16c | 63.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a83bbacked Yes | 65c | 61.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 23c | 56.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 32c | 54.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…b02fbacked Yes | 32c | 46.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Yes | 30c | 41.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 27c | 40.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed Yes | 33c | 38.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed No | 67c | 37.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked No | 67c | 37.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 37.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 55c | 32.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 25.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 25.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…b5ebbacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…18f3backed Yes | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 72c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.