Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1ee35aa769aed0eafaa3cff6f76e990233b3fb334141b7c8d7a27ad06cd55c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,127 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13f7…286abacked No | 60c | 3,200$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 40c | 3,200$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 29c | 399.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 384.69$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.97 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 274$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.15 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 61c | 266$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 260.12$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 39c | 201.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 70c | 189$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 27c | 162.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 25c | 113.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 28c | 100.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…3da8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 21c | 99.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 33c | 92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 79.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 65.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 60.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 56.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 46.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 42c | 44.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…a644backed No | 65c | 36.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 32.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 79c | 31.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 29.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 42c | 28.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 61c | 28.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 48c | 26.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 21.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 75c | 21.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.