Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9f59008b7cde78755b9d95fcbcd5b8c73eb5618977c3a6776ae1c5fee34fcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jodarof Jodar, Norrie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4738…4687backed Jodar | 53c | 917.2$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.3 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Jodar | 51c | 790.84$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.06 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Norrie | 54c | 572.49$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.86 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Norrie | 47c | 554.47$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Norrie | 56c | 493.56$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.73 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Norrie | 48c | 462.59$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jodar | 54c | 341.02$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Jodar | 52c | 316.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Norrie | 49c | 291.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Jodar | 50c | 258.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Jodar | 49c | 209.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Norrie | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Jodar | 51c | 191.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Jodar | 52c | 167.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Norrie | 36c | 160.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Norrie | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Norrie | 52c | 92.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Norrie | 49c | 89.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Norrie | 51c | 87.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Norrie | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Jodar | 53c | 65.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Norrie | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Jodar | 53c | 58.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Jodar | 51c | 51.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Norrie | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Jodar | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Norrie | 52c | 48.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Jodar | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…bfddbacked Jodar | 50c | 40.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Norrie | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…327bbacked Norrie | 52c | 37.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Norrie | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Jodar | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Jodar | 64c | 28.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Norrie | 51c | 27.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Norrie | 51c | 23.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Norrie | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Jodar | 53c | 22.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Jodar | 49c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)this page
- Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael JodarRafael Jodar won
- Cameron Norrie vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Norrie vs. Jodar: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Norrie vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Norrie vs. Jodar: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs JodarJodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.