NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6139353e752b8f2336ce55b06465b093df2771ed7b1276b86d681dd61c93c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c23…2890backed Heat | 52c | 21,700$11,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,284 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…d637backed Bulls | 48c | 21,700$10,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,284 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Heat | 51c | 11,700$5,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,967 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Bulls | 49c | 11,700$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,967 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Heat | 1c | 6,538$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 1c | 4,250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Heat | 56c | 3,282$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.01 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Bulls | 43c | 1,870$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.22 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…7a6cbacked Bulls | 44c | 1,718$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 12c | 1,670$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed Heat | 12c | 1,423$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 35c | 1,169$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.52 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Heat | 1c | 928.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed Heat | 12c | 908$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Heat | 52c | 905.07$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.71 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 57c | 901.02$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.58 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Heat | 75c | 856$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Bulls | 48c | 717.95$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.33 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 51c | 676.38$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.18 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…a82bbacked Bulls | 29c | 665.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.85 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked Heat | 17c | 664.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Bulls | 27c | 643.56$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Heat | 73c | 643.55$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.06 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Heat | 14c | 597.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked Heat | 11c | 553$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Heat | 12c | 516$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…978bbacked Heat | 17c | 500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Heat | 12c | 430$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Heat | 12c | 430$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bulls | 34c | 404.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.96 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…65d8backed Bulls | 28c | 379.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Heat | 54c | 353.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 64c | 347$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6414…fa27backed Bulls | 44c | 340$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612d…3fd1backed Heat | 12c | 334$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Heat | 12c | 319$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Bulls | 35c | 313.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.61 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed Heat | 12c | 310$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Heat | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 643 | 47.7%307 W · 336 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked Heat | 12c | 246$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Bulls | 50c | 230.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…6d94backed Heat | 40c | 170.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 189 | 38.1%72 W · 117 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Heat | 66c | 151.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Bulls | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 731 | 31.1%227 W · 504 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…f400backed Heat | 17c | 145.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +751.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Heat | 66c | 136$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…a1ddbacked Heat | 12c | 135.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c3…a742backed Bulls | 49c | 122.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Heat | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Bulls | 50c | 96.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Bulls | 37c | 88.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 753 | 44.5%335 W · 418 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…2379backed Heat | 34c | 87.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Heat | 69c | 86.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Bulls | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bulls | 33c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8723…1ccebacked Bulls | 43c | 77.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Heat | 53c | 74.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Bulls | 42c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Heat | 51c | 72.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Bulls | 43c | 71.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 323 | 30.7%99 W · 224 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bulls | 52c | 68.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bulls | 51c | 66.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Bulls | 36c | 65.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Bulls | 24c | 61.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Heat | 73c | 58.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heat | 58c | 52.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Heat | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Heat | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6605…e9abbacked Bulls | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Heat | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Bulls | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 564 | 66.8%377 W · 187 L | +41.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Heat | 56c | 46.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 319 | 51.1%163 W · 156 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…dd75backed Bulls | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 33c | 43.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Bulls | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Bulls | 47c | 42.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Heat | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Heat | 54c | 36.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Heat | 56c | 36.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Bulls | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Bulls | 46c | 31.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08d…0779backed Bulls | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Bulls | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Bulls | 38c | 29.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 580 | 53.8%312 W · 268 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Heat | 61c | 28.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed Bulls | 44c | 27.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…1f46backed Heat | 58c | 27.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…c0a7backed Heat | 56c | 24.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Heat | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Heat | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 80.7%180 W · 43 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.