Champions League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal vs. Pachuca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x780b88f04c895086f5a3ba0cc01542bd0702d033e2943248303e742f2dcbced2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 21c | 1,783$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.42 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.04 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 10c | 1,141$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 80c | 550$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 383$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 78c | 374.4$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 79c | 295.24$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…1678backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 22c | 161.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 21c | 151.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 77c | 121.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Yes | 20c | 84.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…e309backed Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal vs. Pachuca end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Hilal beat Pachuca?Yes won
- Will Pachuca beat Al Hilal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.