MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc281ce989d85eec1f8959e1cfa776b698589966a7a64061afd45e9f3c18d80a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Nationals, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Nationals | 35c | 42,350$14,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,783.94 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 65c | 24,048$15,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,416.8 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 65c | 16,513$10,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720.94 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 63c | 4,338$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.63 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Brewers | 65c | 4,111$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.95 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 66c | 3,649$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.6 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 63c | 3,333$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.21 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 65c | 2,845$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.86 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…6f33backed Brewers | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Brewers | 67c | 2,250$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.56 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Brewers | 66c | 2,027$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.06 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 1c | 2,026$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 65c | 1,988$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…5fd2backed Nationals | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…98dabacked Nationals | 35c | 1,771$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…f910backed Nationals | 35c | 1,771$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 61c | 1,412$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.52 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 3c | 1,340$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Nationals | 34c | 1,243$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.71 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…fed2backed Brewers | 65c | 1,235$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Nationals | 33c | 1,221$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.96 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 36c | 1,219$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.79 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 39c | 1,071$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 33c | 1,064$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 41c | 1,029$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 34c | 999.95$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…437cbacked Brewers | 64c | 978$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…a9eebacked Brewers | 64c | 922$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Nationals | 37c | 741.28$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.66 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Nationals | 3c | 726.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 35c | 680.01$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.27 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 64c | 534.38$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 36c | 452$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Nationals | 4c | 416.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 76c | 394$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 51c | 374$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.58 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Brewers | 66c | 324.05$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Nationals | 35c | 309.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Nationals | 8c | 303.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 63c | 292.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Nationals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 64c | 282.64$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 35c | 248.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Brewers | 67c | 239.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Brewers | 61c | 214.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…515cbacked Nationals | 35c | 154.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Brewers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…19c1backed Nationals | 35c | 143.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 34c | 119.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Nationals | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Brewers | 70c | 108.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Brewers | 66c | 108$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 35c | 104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Brewers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Nationals | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…a6a6backed Brewers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Brewers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nationals | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 32c | 96.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Brewers | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 37c | 90.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Brewers | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7bdebacked Brewers | 66c | 77.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…489bbacked Brewers | 66c | 77.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…182bbacked Brewers | 66c | 76.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2848…6315backed Nationals | 35c | 76.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Nationals | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Brewers | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…3e47backed Brewers | 66c | 71.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…c389backed Brewers | 66c | 70.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Brewers | 66c | 62.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Nationals | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nationals | 37c | 49.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Brewers | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 41c | 46.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 28c | 45.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Brewers | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Brewers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Brewers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Nationals | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Brewers | 62c | 26.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Brewers | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Brewers | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.