Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d746cdff37e70cb70f1ebeb8cee045eeba0ec0c62f4334307d3ef69340c5c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sydney Sixersof Melbourne Renegades, Sydney Sixers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Melbourne Renegades | 42c | 10,393$4,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,313.67 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Sydney Sixers | 58c | 6,700$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Melbourne Renegades | 32c | 3,376$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.87 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 2,816$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Sydney Sixers | 59c | 1,855$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Sydney Sixers | 52c | 1,847$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.94 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Sydney Sixers | 60c | 1,296$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…8401backed Melbourne Renegades | 45c | 1,058$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Melbourne Renegades | 43c | 824$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Melbourne Renegades | 44c | 668.18$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Sydney Sixers | 55c | 600$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…6fdbbacked Sydney Sixers | 55c | 536$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…f025backed Sydney Sixers | 55c | 522$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Sydney Sixers | 59c | 518.14$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…fdb2backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 516$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Melbourne Renegades | 41c | 509.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7f…53e2backed Melbourne Renegades | 40c | 455.32$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Melbourne Renegades | 42c | 426.96$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Melbourne Renegades | 41c | 412.9$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed Melbourne Renegades | 29c | 406.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Melbourne Renegades | 41c | 401.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Sydney Sixers | 60c | 331.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…07eabacked Sydney Sixers | 57c | 328$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Sydney Sixers | 58c | 319.56$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Melbourne Renegades | 9c | 287.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sydney Sixers | 56c | 275.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Sydney Sixers | 72c | 260.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Sydney Sixers | 59c | 243$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Sydney Sixers | 73c | 204.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Sydney Sixers | 59c | 203.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…e6b2backed Sydney Sixers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Melbourne Renegades | 41c | 172.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Sydney Sixers | 58c | 171.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Sydney Sixers | 65c | 169.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Melbourne Renegades | 29c | 169.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Melbourne Renegades | 32c | 155.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Melbourne Renegades | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Melbourne Renegades | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Melbourne Renegades | 9c | 127.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Sydney Sixers | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Sydney Sixers | 65c | 98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Melbourne Renegades | 39c | 90.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Melbourne Renegades | 39c | 81.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Sydney Sixers | 56c | 80.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Melbourne Renegades | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…a6f6backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Melbourne Renegades | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e7…def5backed Sydney Sixers | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…83aebacked Melbourne Renegades | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Melbourne Renegades | 33c | 59.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Melbourne Renegades | 35c | 57.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Melbourne Renegades | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Melbourne Renegades | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sydney Sixers | 61c | 40.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Sydney Sixers | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…3487backed Melbourne Renegades | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Sydney Sixers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…30a1backed Sydney Sixers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Melbourne Renegades | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Sydney Sixers | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Sydney Sixers | 61c | 22.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Sydney Sixers | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…e5ccbacked Sydney Sixers | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Sydney Sixers | 57c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.