MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73132c697259e902a2eec9a3b8c072ebe075e1a5d83093f110570d5a8f67e8e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $626,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $629,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Guardians | 42c | 409,214$171,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237,405.35 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Astros | 58c | 80,000$46,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,400 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Astros | 58c | 55,000$31,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 58c | 49,308$28,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,589.78 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Astros | 58c | 44,749$25,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,954.42 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Astros | 61c | 41,147$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Astros | 58c | 35,814$20,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,772.03 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Astros | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 58c | 22,373$13,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,046.23 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 73c | 12,962$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.06 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 20c | 12,479$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 22c | 12,080$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 42c | 11,391$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,751.93 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 45c | 10,955$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Guardians | 68c | 8,542$5,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.08 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Guardians | 42c | 6,289$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.36 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 41c | 6,270$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.46 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Astros | 54c | 5,564$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Astros | 60c | 5,024$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 57c | 4,610$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.5 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 58c | 4,280$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 47c | 4,090$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.89 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 52c | 3,473$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 42c | 3,325$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.48 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Astros | 52c | 3,000$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.02 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Astros | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 58c | 2,460$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.85 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…0907backed Astros | 57c | 2,046$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 57c | 1,924$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.68 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…a6ddbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…05d5backed Guardians | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…a480backed Astros | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 40c | 1,601$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.88 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 19c | 1,507$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.57 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 2c | 1,462$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ce…7d8bbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,356$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3c0cbacked Astros | 57c | 1,307$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf521…14adbacked Astros | 57c | 1,293$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Astros | 1c | 1,289$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…1e99backed Guardians | 43c | 1,244$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…bc55backed Astros | 57c | 1,139$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…dcfbbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,139$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Guardians | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Guardians | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Guardians | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 58c | 905$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.9 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Astros | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 9c | 794.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Astros | 57c | 757.92$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.89 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Astros | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 42c | 680$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.53 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Astros | 60c | 659.14$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Guardians | 42c | 620.93$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.14 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 59c | 600$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 58c | 517.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 42c | 514.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Astros | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Astros | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Guardians | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Astros | 6c | 459.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Guardians | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 52c | 440$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Astros | 58c | 434.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Guardians | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 10c | 420$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Guardians | 41c | 399.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.54 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Guardians | 75c | 391$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 75c | 387.46$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 41c | 385$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.15 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 48c | 362.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 68c | 359.51$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 69c | 327.54$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 41c | 324.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 29c | 308.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Astros | 58c | 301.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Guardians | 41c | 300$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Astros | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9800…aaa3backed Astros | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Astros | 52c | 265.91$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astros | 51c | 265.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Astros | 60c | 261.46$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Guardians | 40c | 253.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Astros | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 44c | 243.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 42c | 235.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 45c | 230.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros | 47c | 229.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Guardians | 43c | 221.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Astros | 59c | 208.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Astros | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.