MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x440d876c3ee631e7d4b23c03b042915f18027ddb37c9840075907a239b751a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 50c | 31,300$15,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,715.4 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Astros | 22c | 9,725$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.3 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 10c | 5,724$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 11c | 4,524$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.99 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.2 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 58c | 3,104$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.2 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Astros | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 46c | 2,543$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 46c | 2,428$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.01 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…6133backed Rangers | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…7c48backed Rangers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…ddeabacked Rangers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros | 51c | 1,976$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.62 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Rangers | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…8282backed Rangers | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 51c | 1,779$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.32 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,695$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.12 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 44c | 1,631$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.12 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 45c | 1,545$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.58 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Astros | 53c | 1,536$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.95 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Rangers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Astros | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 11c | 1,264$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 25c | 1,262$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.75 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 45c | 1,251$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…4778backed Rangers | 46c | 1,162$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…c2dfbacked Astros | 54c | 1,133$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…e826backed Astros | 55c | 1,127$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…bd09backed Rangers | 45c | 1,127$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…cffbbacked Astros | 55c | 1,126$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…4401backed Astros | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…0020backed Rangers | 46c | 1,078$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…f599backed Astros | 54c | 1,059$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…377cbacked Astros | 55c | 1,036$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…7718backed Rangers | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Rangers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c7…669bbacked Astros | 54c | 989$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…179ebacked Astros | 54c | 967$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99b…7d85backed Astros | 55c | 964$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Astros | 53c | 960.96$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.31 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…facabacked Astros | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…28d2backed Astros | 55c | 945$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1924backed Astros | 54c | 941$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astros | 53c | 829$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.37 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Astros | 2c | 752.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 55c | 728$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 28c | 715.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Rangers | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Astros | 54c | 560.36$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Astros | 54c | 500.87$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.47 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Astros | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a3f8backed Rangers | 47c | 470$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Astros | 3c | 422.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rangers | 45c | 419.56$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.76 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 79c | 360.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 56c | 358.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…b1e0backed Astros | 56c | 356.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Astros | 11c | 332.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Rangers | 69c | 324.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…0075backed Rangers | 47c | 321.28$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 78c | 281.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Rangers | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astros | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 57c | 250.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Astros | 24c | 229.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 47c | 227.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 36c | 208.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Astros | 17c | 206.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Astros | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rangers | 47c | 189$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Rangers | 46c | 180.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 53c | 169.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Rangers | 45c | 168.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 52c | 167.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Astros | 53c | 137.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 28c | 130.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…f292backed Rangers | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Astros | 17c | 118.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers | 45c | 117.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers | 46c | 107.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Astros | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Astros | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Astros | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Rangers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Rangers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Rangers | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Astros | 54c | 97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rangers | 45c | 94.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Astros | 15c | 94.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.