Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x304afc340886666a86a9dd5db655a9621e601bc485201e83edd4a123f2b44f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 39,884$25,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,132.15 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 19,466$7,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,550.09 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 36c | 18,172$6,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,629.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 8,816$5,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,641.23 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 6,706$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030.97 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 36c | 4,005$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.2 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…c21fbacked No | 65c | 3,038$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 36c | 3,008$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.97 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 1,610$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.28 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 35c | 1,517$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.37 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 1,346$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.51 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 71c | 1,318$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.89 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 63c | 1,200$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.07 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 37c | 999.26$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.53 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 994.9$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.48 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 64c | 973$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.72 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 27c | 923.27$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 65c | 740.9$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.17 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…cdc2backed No | 63c | 734.92$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 38c | 657$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.34 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 574.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.36 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…2941backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…b549backed No | 66c | 385.06$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…7fa7backed Yes | 35c | 361.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…09d9backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 35c | 207$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.55 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 23c | 189.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed No | 64c | 184.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 36c | 169.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 63c | 152.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 35c | 140.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed No | 64c | 102.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 102$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…61a8backed No | 14c | 88.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…2625backed Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…b135backed No | 65c | 81.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed No | 65c | 76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 31c | 61.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…525dbacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 63c | 58.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 37c | 58.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 64c | 57.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…c2debacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 35c | 40.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…8a8ebacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +206.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 65c | 38.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked No | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed No | 64c | 37.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 70c | 37.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…0374backed Yes | 36c | 30.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…c21cbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Yes | 35c | 29.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…1975backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Yes | 37c | 27.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…1425backed No | 63c | 26.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…1c39backed Yes | 70c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 54cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 65c | 18.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.