Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12fa84dae6d91d6ff0675cb98811f52490935af5044a90f0ec0f4afed6942f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 68c | 13,726$9,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.25 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 11,451$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,664.13 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 7,186$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.76 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 68c | 6,165$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 69c | 5,510$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 4,172$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 19c | 2,327$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.47 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 80c | 1,577$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.45 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 1,321$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.85 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 31c | 1,090$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 32c | 922.51$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.2 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 25c | 900$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 69c | 860$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 748.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 485.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 68c | 485.29$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 333$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 32c | 272$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 31c | 217.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 31c | 204.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 32c | 188.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 31c | 155$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 32c | 110.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…7cb5backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…82ccbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed No | 68c | 90.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 68c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 68c | 79.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 32c | 79.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 68c | 72.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 69c | 59.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…0dd5backed Yes | 32c | 53.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 32c | 51.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 69c | 46.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 45.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 32c | 44.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 77c | 38.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 67c | 36.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked No | 68c | 36.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Yes | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde33…1496backed Yes | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 69c | 29.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 68c | 29.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 68c | 19.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed No | 77c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.