MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de0a774851b15788f913e19bd3bd65d5a5d2d268f682ddf22761209e34ad76c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 53c | 10,297$5,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 28c | 6,175$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 44c | 3,729$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.42 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Athletics | 45c | 3,356$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Guardians | 55c | 3,181$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.56 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.97 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Guardians | 63c | 2,715$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Athletics | 63c | 2,714$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.34 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Guardians | 51c | 2,557$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.67 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Guardians | 57c | 2,421$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 26c | 2,219$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.88 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 37c | 2,184$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.98 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Guardians | 55c | 2,173$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 56c | 1,795$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Guardians | 31c | 1,763$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.65 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Guardians | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Guardians | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 48c | 1,078$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.93 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Athletics | 44c | 612.41$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.95 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Guardians | 57c | 551.75$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Guardians | 58c | 538.54$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.05 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics | 45c | 500.51$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.28 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 43c | 470$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Guardians | 35c | 429.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Guardians | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Guardians | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 37c | 348.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Athletics | 60c | 334.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Athletics | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Guardians | 3c | 305.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Athletics | 78c | 273.61$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Guardians | 45c | 264.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Guardians | 56c | 263.09$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 47c | 251.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Athletics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 44c | 226.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Athletics | 47c | 213.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Guardians | 38c | 205.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Guardians | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 56c | 198$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 53c | 185$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Athletics | 55c | 183.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Athletics | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Athletics | 53c | 180.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Athletics | 65c | 167.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Guardians | 57c | 164.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Athletics | 42c | 130.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 40c | 124.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Guardians | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 44c | 112$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 42c | 107.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Athletics | 44c | 105.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Athletics | 43c | 100.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Guardians | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Guardians | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Guardians | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Guardians | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Guardians | 49c | 60.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Athletics | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Athletics | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Athletics | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…a45ebacked Guardians | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…ca95backed Guardians | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Athletics | 45c | 45.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Guardians | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked Athletics | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Guardians | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 46c | 32.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…c7c9backed Athletics | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Guardians | 38c | 27.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Athletics | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Guardians | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Athletics | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Guardians | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked Athletics | 44c | 24.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.