Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3da75295a9951a7b9a38af28ab6773d5c7724a96f9c8558db1b26a440d40b40a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Carolina Catamountsof East Tennessee State Buccaneers, Western Carolina Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 53c | 563.14$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.06 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 49c | 325.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 47c | 264.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 53c | 227.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 49c | 144.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 45c | 106.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 49c | 81.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 50c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 47c | 33.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 53c | 25.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 49c | 23.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-6.5)this page
- East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Western Carolina CatamountsWestern Carolina Catamounts won
- East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-5.5)Western Carolina Catamounts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.