F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53e9841eed9be6b081bd33eed81a70368cc8480bb30e52e2daf8cda431193a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 9,525$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 1c | 1,281$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 48c | 312.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 50c | 273.46$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…47d7backed No | 46c | 201.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed No | 54c | 79.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…fabdbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…b64dbacked Yes | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 40.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 49c | 25.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -53%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?this page
- Will George Russell finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Lando Norris finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Liam Lawson finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
- Will any other driver finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.