College Football · resolved market
Vanderbilt vs. Virginia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4320eeb7aff9d66d96c7af7bbdcc2f679dfa1e76b72f4a1d0c7f3ab8d0b4527f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbiltof Vanderbilt, Virginia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Vanderbilt | 62c | 17,681$10,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.96 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Vanderbilt | 48c | 15,563$7,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,153.69 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Virginia Tech | 53c | 12,072$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,383.86 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virginia Tech | 38c | 6,798$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.11 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Tech | 55c | 5,958$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.88 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Vanderbilt | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 4,943$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.75 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Virginia Tech | 47c | 2,255$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.31 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Vanderbilt | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Virginia Tech | 38c | 1,772$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.39 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Vanderbilt | 48c | 1,272$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.75 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Virginia Tech | 10c | 1,203$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 1,162$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.13 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 743.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Vanderbilt | 22c | 697.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Virginia Tech | 64c | 600.51$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.68 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Virginia Tech | 44c | 500$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Virginia Tech | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Virginia Tech | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Virginia Tech | 52c | 437$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Virginia Tech | 52c | 355$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.77 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Virginia Tech | 55c | 320.25$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Vanderbilt | 45c | 308.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.59 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Vanderbilt | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virginia Tech | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virginia Tech | 48c | 298.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 295.91$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Virginia Tech | 38c | 275.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Virginia Tech | 56c | 265$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…c35fbacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Vanderbilt | 45c | 206.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Vanderbilt | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Virginia Tech | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Virginia Tech | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Virginia Tech | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech | 54c | 177$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Virginia Tech | 8c | 166.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Vanderbilt | 25c | 123.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…2149backed Vanderbilt | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Virginia Tech | 11c | 96.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Virginia Tech | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Virginia Tech | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 61.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Virginia Tech | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Virginia Tech | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Vanderbilt | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Virginia Tech | 55c | 50.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Virginia Tech | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Virginia Tech | 36c | 38.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Virginia Tech | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Virginia Tech | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c7…1f49backed Virginia Tech | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f1…876bbacked Vanderbilt | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vanderbilt vs. Virginia Techthis page
- Vanderbilt vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 47.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.