Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Solana all time high by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f3834b3d7ab5a081899446973757cb55587f188ffc97e2bafbe7575a90ba63e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 12c | 17,338$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.31 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…af47backed Yes | 7c | 2,449$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…ae2ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,054$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 13c | 703.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba5…1512backed Yes | 17c | 620$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…b43ebacked Yes | 6c | 358.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a9bcbacked Yes | 7c | 338.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…4301backed Yes | 18c | 233.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 30c | 222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…605ebacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 9c | 192.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…55b2backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765e…df12backed Yes | 28c | 139$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…bd05backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…01d1backed No | 76c | 122.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…68a4backed No | 78c | 80.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…6d29backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…9bb9backed No | 74c | 45.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabec…dc18backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…c5abbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…70cebacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…00abbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…cc89backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.