TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Georgia Southern Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Appalachian State Mountaineersof Appalachian State Mountaineers, Georgia Southern Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Georgia Southern Eagles18c1,875$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.155,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.242,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Georgia Southern Eagles28c1,000$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Southern Eagles47c803.74$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.3512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Appalachian State Mountaineers67c772.08$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.824444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers61c419.94$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.941,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Georgia Southern Eagles27c412$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Appalachian State Mountaineers72c326.49$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.873,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Georgia Southern Eagles29c324.56$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.836549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Appalachian State Mountaineers59c265$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.41,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers69c232$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0961446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Georgia Southern Eagles47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia Southern Eagles42c199.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia Southern Eagles14c181.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Georgia Southern Eagles41c130.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.362,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Georgia Southern Eagles18c120.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers72c112.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Georgia Southern Eagles14c106.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles46c100.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0724340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Appalachian State Mountaineers58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4221449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Georgia Southern Eagles47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9914151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed Appalachian State Mountaineers53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Georgia Southern Eagles35c93.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Georgia Southern Eagles48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.29035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Georgia Southern Eagles42c87.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8650745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Appalachian State Mountaineers58c71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.822,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Appalachian State Mountaineers61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Georgia Southern Eagles39c65.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5737441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Appalachian State Mountaineers54c63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.985,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Georgia Southern Eagles39c55.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia Southern Eagles29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.051,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers58c34.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.453470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Appalachian State Mountaineers53c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.572,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Appalachian State Mountaineers53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.152353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles48c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.044626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Appalachian State Mountaineers73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5529954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Appalachian State Mountaineers59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.22,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.635650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.