Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a54b73083edae0531f7aefadab41638c21c016b247fce687e08d8e657c8fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Bearcatsof Cincinnati Bearcats, Kansas State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 43c | 2,647$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.35 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 2,617$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Kansas State Wildcats | 27c | 999.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 72c | 842$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 45c | 684.04$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.14 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas State Wildcats | 11c | 658.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed Kansas State Wildcats | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 76c | 436.09$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 61c | 369.91$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 281.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 56c | 230.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 22c | 221.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas State Wildcats | 43c | 199.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 29c | 131.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 67c | 128$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Kansas State Wildcats | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…beb0backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 54c | 78.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kansas State Wildcats | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 65c | 57.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas State Wildcats | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 67c | 47.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Kansas State Wildcats | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas State Wildcats | 38c | 40.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Kansas State Wildcats | 40c | 34.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 62c | 17.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas State Wildcatsthis page
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 146.5Over won
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 147.5Over won
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.