Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x754b156979bd37eb729d0dcc8fe051289f637c68dcde62cc3fe25586c408bdbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof Wisconsin Badgers, Illinois Fighting Illini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 64c | 5,982$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 77c | 3,763$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.84 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 73c | 3,488$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.85 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wisconsin Badgers | 12c | 3,322$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.42 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 61c | 3,167$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.59 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.18 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wisconsin Badgers | 39c | 2,920$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.36 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 1,948$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.63 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 12c | 1,732$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.97 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 30c | 1,619$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.21 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 1,609$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.4 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 1,452$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.35 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 36c | 1,316$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.04 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 1,076$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.51 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 931.4$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.44 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 924$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.59 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 26c | 923.22$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.71 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 38c | 897.21$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.18 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 38c | 885.71$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.54 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 53c | 770.11$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.89 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 14c | 756.88$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.76 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 23c | 702.04$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 671.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 593$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.19 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Wisconsin Badgers | 68c | 453.9$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 33c | 369.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…38f5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 358.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 42c | 310$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 14c | 277.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.32 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wisconsin Badgers | 15c | 254$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wisconsin Badgers | 62c | 222.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 15c | 199.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 57c | 191.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wisconsin Badgers | 15c | 190.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Wisconsin Badgers | 36c | 176.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 19c | 163.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…4f66backed Wisconsin Badgers | 31c | 160.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 33c | 156.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 70c | 153.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Wisconsin Badgers | 15c | 152.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 16c | 140.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.87 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Wisconsin Badgers | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 133.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 24c | 130.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…c803backed Wisconsin Badgers | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +324.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 122.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wisconsin Badgers | 12c | 120.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Wisconsin Badgers | 30c | 119.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 118.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Wisconsin Badgers | 14c | 110.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 105.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 28c | 104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…df01backed Wisconsin Badgers | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6900…9a4bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…5995backed Wisconsin Badgers | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…747abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 97.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 12c | 91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Wisconsin Badgers | 18c | 87.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd3…47b6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 18c | 81.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 33c | 72.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 55c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Wisconsin Badgers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 72c | 58.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 55.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 74c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 53.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 42c | 53.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 80c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…4bfcbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 78cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 23.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 58c | 23.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…7851backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 62c | 18.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinithis page
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 152.5Over won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 154.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.