Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Stetson Hatters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e5c56a37cbd47cc82b6eb6629dbf7c34a5530bbc63016f12fb861d269fbe4cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stetson Hattersof Jacksonville Dolphins, Stetson Hatters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 15c | 2,495$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Stetson Hatters | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Stetson Hatters | 46c | 492.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Stetson Hatters | 44c | 461.25$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 41c | 377.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 353.71$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 280$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stetson Hatters | 47c | 199.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…38f5backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stetson Hatters | 46c | 178.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stetson Hatters | 70c | 165.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 28c | 163.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 59c | 148$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 51c | 111.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 48c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stetson Hatters | 67c | 77.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Stetson Hatters | 40c | 74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 44c | 68.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 53c | 66.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 41c | 56.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jacksonville Dolphins | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 47c | 50.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stetson Hatters | 53c | 46.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Stetson Hatters | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Stetson Hatters | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Stetson Hatters | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Stetson Hatters | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Stetson Hatters | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Stetson Hatters | 48c | 29.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stetson Hatters | 63c | 26.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Stetson Hatters | 72c | 24.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Jacksonville Dolphins | 55c | 24.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Stetson Hatters | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Stetson Hatters | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Stetson Hattersthis page
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Stetson Hatters: O/U 137.5Under won
- Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Stetson Hatters: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.