Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f074eaa814140ef2ccbb8fdbd00c4ac0fdb2e58bb1837cfd372d0ed1e86c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed L1ga Team | 46c | 3,907$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.7 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 2,319$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.47 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 722.34$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.61 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed L1ga Team | 60c | 497.91$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 55c | 469.31$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.78 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 430$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 401$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 385.47$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 61c | 350$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.91 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 341.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.38 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed L1ga Team | 35c | 332.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.82 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 319.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 319.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…c92fbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 311.15$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 290.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 285.11$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed L1ga Team | 36c | 272.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 257$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed L1ga Team | 55c | 253.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 214.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.19 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked L1ga Team | 75c | 205.47$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked L1ga Team | 80c | 201$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed L1ga Team | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed L1ga Team | 37c | 196.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed L1ga Team | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed L1ga Team | 53c | 161$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed L1ga Team | 37c | 134.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed L1ga Team | 36c | 128.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 106.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 106.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed L1ga Team | 25c | 103.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed L1ga Team | 44c | 103.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed L1ga Team | 63c | 102.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 59c | 102.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed L1ga Team | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked L1ga Team | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed L1ga Team | 47c | 99.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 63c | 88.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 73.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pipsqueak+4 | 25c | 61.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 61.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed L1ga Team | 79c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 53.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed Pipsqueak+4 | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 46.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 66c | 44.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 78c | 35.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed L1ga Team | 69c | 34.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf82d…0e4bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed L1ga Team | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed L1ga Team | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 21.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 15.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.