Portland Pilots vs. San Diego Toreros

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e5a867333e4febca6d66c05125152e170747a6c724b33a64a59efca3df41c6

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Torerosof Portland Pilots, San Diego Toreros
Resolved: Feb 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,462 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ec1…057cbacked San Diego Toreros	58c	31,061$18,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,953.77	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Portland Pilots	42c	11,000$4,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,619.99	896	45.9%411 W · 485 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Portland Pilots	42c	10,055$4,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,186.35	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Toreros	56c	5,407$3,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,378.97	123	64.2%79 W · 44 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Portland Pilots	40c	4,878$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,934.7	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Portland Pilots	44c	4,285$1,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,885.4	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Portland Pilots	7c	3,034$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.19	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Portland Pilots	42c	2,354$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.78	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Portland Pilots	40c	1,783$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.04	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Pilots	50c	1,580$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.97	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Toreros	78c	1,432$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.5	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Portland Pilots	45c	729.17$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.05	259	46.3%120 W · 139 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Portland Pilots	43c	709.19$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.69	998	48.4%483 W · 515 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked San Diego Toreros	58c	656$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.06	1,436	47.5%682 W · 754 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland Pilots	16c	588.68$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.04	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked San Diego Toreros	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	814	53.1%432 W · 382 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed San Diego Toreros	40c	499.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.99	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Diego Toreros	53c	441.88$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.57	2,012	50%1,006 W · 1,006 L	+22.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07bf…bc57backed San Diego Toreros	57c	359.74$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.03	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	62cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed San Diego Toreros	62c	253.99$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.43	682	54.3%370 W · 312 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Portland Pilots	43c	200.08$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.39	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Portland Pilots	42c	187$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.54	918	48.9%449 W · 469 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked San Diego Toreros	58c	173$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.66	137	43.8%60 W · 77 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Portland Pilots	47c	160$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked San Diego Toreros	72c	157.89$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.4	870	47.2%411 W · 459 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Portland Pilots	58c	155$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.45	614	46.1%283 W · 331 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Portland Pilots	42c	150$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked San Diego Toreros	48c	137.97$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.79	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Portland Pilots	44c	133.12$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.98	191	38.2%73 W · 118 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Toreros	50c	132$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.19	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego Toreros	58c	129.05$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.2	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Portland Pilots	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Toreros	46c	104.64$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.17	253	37.5%95 W · 158 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Portland Pilots	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	214	49.5%106 W · 108 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Portland Pilots	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Portland Pilots	52c	76.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	934	47.9%447 W · 487 L	-19.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Portland Pilots	34c	58.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Portland Pilots	47c	54.32$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.55	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7c…1439backed Portland Pilots	52c	50.76$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.24	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.30per pick	42cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed San Diego Toreros	57c	50.13$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.53	299	54.2%162 W · 137 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Portland Pilots	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	891	46.2%412 W · 479 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed San Diego Toreros	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	449	55.2%248 W · 201 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Portland Pilots	43c	46.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	252	30.6%77 W · 175 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed San Diego Toreros	44c	45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.21	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Toreros	47c	44.9$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Portland Pilots	51c	42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.43	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…5182backed San Diego Toreros	57c	41.53$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.86	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed Portland Pilots	44c	40.91$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Diego Toreros	48c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.86	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Portland Pilots	28c	39.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	1,249	16.4%205 W · 1,044 L	-189.4wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Portland Pilots	42c	35.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	213	42.3%90 W · 123 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed San Diego Toreros	58c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	646	58.8%380 W · 266 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed San Diego Toreros	51c	25.16$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.44	1,296	45.1%584 W · 712 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed San Diego Toreros	60c	24.15$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	251	52.6%132 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Portland Pilots	43c	23.3$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	176	34.7%61 W · 115 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Toreros	49c	22.72$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.56	771	42.3%326 W · 445 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portland Pilots vs. San Diego Torerosthis page
Spread: San Diego Toreros (-2.5)San Diego Toreros won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portland Pilots vs. San Diego Toreros

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event