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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacksonville State Gamecocksof Jacksonville State Gamecocks, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,408 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers31c13,188$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.165,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0a…24a9backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks46c5,836$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.724513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers53c4,357$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.163,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers39c4,113$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.841,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks67c4,012$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.368544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks56c3,774$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.112,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks51c3,103$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.914544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers57c1,911$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.45,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers36c1,831$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.051,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers59c1,433$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.833,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers43c1,308$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.8214643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers46c1,175$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.874057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks31c797.09$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.191,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers44c589.63$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.621,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks65c507.47$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.941172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.714742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers55c480.99$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.842,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks37c450$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.537142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks66c408.19$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.462,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks55c406.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks36c333.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.334,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe1…6b57backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers24c327.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.47650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+81.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks40c227.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3810846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers48c211.01$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers65c203.61$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…191bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db6…e1babacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick25cpaid+127.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers34c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dec…53b0backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers66c140.59$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers24c136.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.182,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks33c134.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4338345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers62c97.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers60c88.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks38c81.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3342339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers17c80.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2613651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks65c80.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.066457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers37c65.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.353,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers67c64.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers63c63.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6553646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks45c57.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5768254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fc…a83bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5722656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks40c52.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.291968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2823028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks34c51.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks36c50.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.482,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d2…3c94backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers70c43.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.82075%15 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks46c39.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.181,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks35c35.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.384,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks34c35.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7113550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers52c34.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.031,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.964658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers64c20.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.194427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.