South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f964fb2fb8b46b7a900b762f890880bb0feec96de3a255a6ba665d3090137eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,591$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,280$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,205$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 31c | 296.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 40c | 128$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 40c | 79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 33c | 70.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed No | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.