South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b0b8d5433701e9e8af7f63c586b7cbca7dac536692834df06668359a8be9ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 684.19$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 40c | 287.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 234.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 173.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 68c | 149.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 137.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 33c | 118$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 32c | 85.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 33c | 74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 78c | 58.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Over | 78c | 42.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Over | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Under | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Under | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 30.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 64c | 28.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 66c | 22.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.