Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x233fb65433a813571434a0ffd41bdccc57b771217feb048f6367dda213c525f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 321.14$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 69c | 293.9$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 33c | 209$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 33c | 183.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 68c | 157.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 60c | 132$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 61c | 116$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -5.0wins | -0.45per pick | 63cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Yes | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 32.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.