Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa290321b1b3467d7bbea4fcf41d5591d940cdadbc48d6a4520e59105f23a06ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 74c | 1,337$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 894.05$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 787.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 664.85$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.96 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 76c | 659.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 22c | 227.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…e615backed Under | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 26c | 161$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…2f16backed Over | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 72c | 134.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 16c | 118.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 73c | 106.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 75c | 92.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 27c | 85.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 26c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 70.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…2818backed Under | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 73c | 42.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 74c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.