Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c7a87a12ed4251280094d202c53d0f442229b977169dafe1e643c2ef9f488e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 1,524$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.19 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 521.84$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.78 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 19c | 378.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 236.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 180.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 19c | 176.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 15c | 124.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b3…6c72backed Under | 46c | 107.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 34c | 106.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Under | 54c | 94.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 79.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 42c | 75.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…9dd7backed Over | 39c | 63.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Under | 70c | 60.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Under | 53c | 35.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.