Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4617c92881d5e8288f8c1052186ed6953be6a03120bc21bc5af0e0448575f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 5,368$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 1,660$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.99 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 67c | 1,234$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.85 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 74c | 673.1$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 621.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.97 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 27c | 535.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 65c | 505.5$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 28c | 339.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 42c | 329.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 29c | 316.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed Over | 27c | 204.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…00fcbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 199.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 198.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae66…3d04backed Over | 44c | 153.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 42c | 136.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 107.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 42c | 103.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 49c | 102.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…4e70backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…9dd7backed Over | 41c | 82.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Over | 28c | 82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 38c | 65.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Over | 67c | 53.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 30c | 50.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 44c | 39.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 40c | 36.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 70c | 27.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3757…542ebacked Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Under | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Under | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Under | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Under | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.