Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf68dcadb4baa1debc747ea1ed00209ff3914aab463fab3f54c52085135065479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 51c | 1,220$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 71c | 1,097$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.8 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,013$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.9 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 78c | 799.98$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 668.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 54c | 590.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 54c | 504.87$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.24 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Over | 80c | 457$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 50c | 372.23$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.8 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 76c | 372.01$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 49c | 357.14$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 49c | 338.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 64c | 335.94$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 252.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 242.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 54c | 231.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…5c06backed Over | 46c | 187.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 22c | 146.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 49c | 132$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked Under | 22c | 114.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 52c | 99.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 63c | 89.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Over | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 49c | 76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 60c | 63.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 42c | 51.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 48c | 47.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Under | 39c | 36.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Over | 50c | 32.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked Under | 52c | 25.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…bc51backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.