Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA Bruins vs. Wisconsin Badgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd549dd2bb572d56e7f593414cc473998713fb2d6be958c165948f10fc87225ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof UCLA Bruins, Wisconsin Badgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 64c | 1,411$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.08 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed UCLA Bruins | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed UCLA Bruins | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed UCLA Bruins | 38c | 931.49$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.96 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed UCLA Bruins | 30c | 880.25$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.45 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UCLA Bruins | 38c | 846.81$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 814.93$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 811.11$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.11 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed UCLA Bruins | 5c | 784.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wisconsin Badgers | 76c | 744.76$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed UCLA Bruins | 1c | 735.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked UCLA Bruins | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 493$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 383.9$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wisconsin Badgers | 79c | 330$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Wisconsin Badgers | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed UCLA Bruins | 4c | 293.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCLA Bruins | 28c | 261.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed UCLA Bruins | 40c | 250.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UCLA Bruins | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed UCLA Bruins | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCLA Bruins | 36c | 146.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UCLA Bruins | 25c | 136.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 77c | 130.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed UCLA Bruins | 39c | 128.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 126.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed UCLA Bruins | 35c | 118.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed UCLA Bruins | 29c | 103.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked UCLA Bruins | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 61c | 94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wisconsin Badgers | 77c | 88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Wisconsin Badgers | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed UCLA Bruins | 39c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42aa…0697backed Wisconsin Badgers | 64c | 71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wisconsin Badgers | 62c | 66.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed UCLA Bruins | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Wisconsin Badgers | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed UCLA Bruins | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 74c | 49.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UCLA Bruins | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed UCLA Bruins | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 64c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed UCLA Bruins | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed UCLA Bruins | 38c | 38.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed UCLA Bruins | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCLA Bruins | 36c | 31.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Wisconsin Badgers | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked UCLA Bruins | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed UCLA Bruins | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed UCLA Bruins | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked UCLA Bruins | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked UCLA Bruins | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed UCLA Bruins | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Wisconsin Badgers | 63c | 16.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA Bruins vs. Wisconsin Badgersthis page
- UCLA Bruins vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 152.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.