Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: RIZON vs Dortmund Gesichtenhausen (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11b49d0f2fb0eaa687e33f46f1ddb5da9122de4984f07d03ccfce5c8d2c96e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dortmund Gesichtenhausenof RIZON, Dortmund Gesichtenhausen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed RIZON | 26c | 491.69$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 51c | 321.54$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 70c | 229.48$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked RIZON | 50c | 192.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed RIZON | 50c | 173$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked RIZON | 51c | 143$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…f2cdbacked Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 79c | 111.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 61c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed RIZON | 39c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked RIZON | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…0157backed RIZON | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed RIZON | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked RIZON | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe139…84b4backed RIZON | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked RIZON | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Dortmund Gesichtenhausen | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed RIZON | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: RIZON vs Dortmund Gesichtenhausen (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Bthis page
- Valorant: RIZON vs Dortmund Gesichtenhausen - Map 2 WinnerDortmund Gesichtenhausen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.